Saturday, January 3, 2009

Comparing 2008 Rankings to 2007

I was curious how this year's team's compared to last year's. The Hawks had the second-worst dropoff of any team in the NFL, next to the Pats. Here's a table with the numbers, sorted by this year's team strength in descending order:


















































































































































































































Rank
Team
2008 Team Strength
Change From 2007 Team Strength
1
Baltimore
10.5
17.79
2
Pittsburgh
9.9
-0.11
3
Tennessee
9.8
9.1
4
NY Giants
9.3
7.9
5
Philadelphia
9
5.81
6
San Diego
7.4
-0.8
7
Carolina
7.1
12.79
8
New England
6.4
-14.86
9
New Orleans
5.1
7.09
10
Atlanta
4.6
15.25
11
Indianapolis
4.6
-8.79
12
Minnesota
4.1
-1.33
13
NY Jets
3.7
10.15
14
Green Bay
2.9
-7.31
15
Miami
2.5
15.44
16
Tampa Bay
2.2
-3.51
17
Chicago
1.5
4.41
18
Dallas
0.6
-9.36
19
Arizona
0.1
-0.23
20
Buffalo
-0.6
6.69
21
Washington
-1.1
-3.58
22
Houston
-1.4
-0.82
23
San Francisco
-1.8
8.82
24
Jacksonville
-5.2
-13.11
25
Denver
-5.5
0
26
Seattle
-7.8
-14.49
27
Oakland
-9.1
-0.06
28
Cleveland
-10.3
-11.7
29
Kansas City
-10.6
-1.97
30
Cincinnati
-11.8
-11.11
31
St. Louis
-17.5
-5.04
32
Detroit
-19.1
-12.49

2008 Final Regular Season Power Rankings

I have not updated these rankings since week 10. The differences in rankings you see here are in comparison to Week 10.

Based purely on power rankings, there is far more parity this season. Check out last season's final rankings. The top team last season were the Patriots with a team strength of 21.26. Indy was at 13.36. Of course, the Super Bowl Champ Giants were a distant #13 with a strength of 1.4. They were streaking heading into the playoffs though. San Diego would seem to have some similar attributes this year.

The Hawks had a massive dip this year, losing 14.49 in their team strength. They we worse everywhere but YPC. Most distressing was the jump in points allowed.

I admit to not following the NFL as closely as the Hawks drifted, but I'm shocked to see Baltimore on top here.

See you all as we get closer to the draft.
















































































































































































































Rank
Team
Team Strength
Change From Last Ranking
1
Baltimore
10.5
2.20
2
Pittsburgh
9.9
1.40
3
Tennessee
9.8
-2.10
4
NY Giants
9.3
-3.50
5
Philadelphia
9
0.20
6
San Diego
7.4
2.90
7
Carolina
7.1
-0.50
8
New England
6.4
4.60
9
New Orleans
5.1
3.90
10
Atlanta
4.6
-0.10
11
Indianapolis
4.6
5.70
12
Minnesota
4.1
3.70
13
NY Jets
3.7
-3.80
14
Green Bay
2.9
-0.90
15
Miami
2.5
0.80
16
Tampa Bay
2.2
-4.00
17
Chicago
1.5
-4.20
18
Dallas
0.6
-0.20
19
Arizona
0.1
-6.40
20
Buffalo
-0.6
-1.70
21
Washington
-1.1
-3.60
22
Houston
-1.4
4.20
23
San Francisco
-1.8
4.20
24
Jacksonville
-5.2
-5.60
25
Denver
-5.5
-1.80
26
Seattle
-7.8
0.90
27
Oakland
-9.1
4.20
28
Cleveland
-10.3
-5.20
29
Kansas City
-10.6
3.00
30
Cincinnati
-11.8
2.60
31
St. Louis
-17.5
2.70
32
Detroit
-19.1
-2.10

Sunday, December 21, 2008

End of an Era

There are all sorts of endings. This one merited a little commentary, at least for my future reference. I wanted today to be all about honoring one of my heroes, Mike Holmgren, on his way out the door. I don't throw the hero word around lightly, and I understand why some would find it offensive to call a football coach a hero. What I know is that a team I have spent 27 years following was a joke for most of the 90s, and had been out of the playoffs for over a decade in a league defined by its parity.

I care about my sports teams way more than I could ever defend as appropriate or logical, and that's part of the fun. When one of them is a wreck, it hurts. When they are a wreck for a few seasons, it really hurts. When they reach the point of being hopeless, my coping skills kinda suck. If you haven't noticed, I've taken the last month off on this blog, and much of the past few months. With a wife and kids and a job, I can no longer afford to punch walls and lose days at a time with anger about a losing team. Instead, I just shut down. Before Holmgren came aboard, I was in a similar state for years. It was brutal.

He came in with a plan, and stuck with it. I didn't agree with all his moves (trading my favorite player, Ahman Green, and then spending a first round pick on a Shaun Alexander to replace him), but I had that confidence that he knew what he was doing. I also started to learn about him as a man and a leader and my respect grew. He owned up to his mistakes. He spoke about his family the way a man does when he loves them and has figured out what life is about. He wasn't afraid to rely on people with skills that he didn't have, whether it be in the front office or on the defensive side of the ball. He protected his young players, but held them accountable. And, most of all, he made it safe for me to pour myself into my team again.

I can say with all honesty that I never called for his job, either as a GM or as a coach. I'm proud of that. Not only do I give him 98% of the credit for building the 2005 team, but I think we might have been back if Ruskell hadn't made one of the worst moves in history by transition tagging Hutch.

And that brings me to the hardest part of today for me. As much as I tried to just reflect on all the great things Holmgren accomplished here and how much I'm going to miss having him around, I couldn't help but stew about Ruskell. Where does this guy get off denying Holmgren a chance to return next year? I'll give him Lofa, Patrick Kerney and LeRoy Hill. I can name a much larger list of bad moves off the top of my head (Hutch, Lawrence Jackson, Daryll Tapp, Kelly Jennings, David Greene to name a few). You could argue he's hurt the team more than helped it, and now he's running the guy out of town that made significantly more good moves than bad, including as a GM.

Where's Paul Allen in all this? Is this really what he thinks is best for the football team? Well, it's spilt milk, and I'm crying over it. I know. Vent done...for now.

Congratulations to Mike Holmgren, and I know he will end up winning executive of the year sometime down the road. I only can hope it's not within our division.

Sunday, November 16, 2008

Game Thread: Cardinals @ Seahawks

I'll be at the game, but feel free to share your love and hate here.

2008 Power Rankings Week 10

Not much changing at this point in the season.

















































































































































































































Rank
Team
Team Strength
Change From Last Week
1
NY Giants
12.8
-0.80
2
Tennessee
11.9
-0.60
3
Philadelphia
8.8
-2.00
4
Pittsburgh
8.5
-1.70
5
Baltimore
8.3
2.50
6
Carolina
7.6
0.40
7
NY Jets
7.5
4.00
8
Arizona
6.5
0.20
9
Tampa Bay
6.2
0.00
10
Chicago
5.7
-1.60
11
Atlanta
4.7
1.10
12
San Diego
4.5
-0.20
13
Green Bay
3.8
-0.60
14
Washington
2.5
0.00
15
New England
1.8
0.70
16
Miami
1.7
0.30
17
New Orleans
1.2
-1.80
18
Buffalo
1.1
-1.50
19
Dallas
0.8
0.00
20
Jacksonville
0.4
3.00
21
Minnesota
0.4
0.20
22
Indianapolis
-1.1
0.60
23
Denver
-3.7
0.00
24
Cleveland
-5.1
0.00
25
Houston
-5.6
-2.80
26
San Francisco
-6
0.00
27
Seattle
-8.7
0.60
28
Oakland
-13.3
0.20
29
Kansas City
-13.6
1.40
30
Cincinnati
-14.4
0.00
31
Detroit
-17
-0.90
32
St. Louis
-20.2
-3.30

Sunday, November 9, 2008

Reaction: Hawks lose to Dolphins 21-19

Hard fought game. The WRs killed us, plain and simple. Has Colbert made a single valuable play since coming over in the trade? Seriously, can someone tell me a single play he has made?

I certainly can tell you his drop on 3rd down led directly to the Dolphins winning TD. Horrible. And Koren dropping that easy TD catch...at least he caught one later. Even Carlsen dropped a number of ball including the final one on 4th down. Fitting way to end.

The defense really stepped it up. Good game for the LBs, and nice pick six for big play babs.

It says a lot about Holmgren that the guys played this hard for him in a lost season.

Game Thread: Seahawks @ Dolphins

No reason to expect a win today. In fact, we might in for a real spanking against a team on the rise who may smell blood in the water against a team struggling to find inspiration.

2008 Power Rankings Week 9

Here's your weekly helping. Giants take back the top spot. For all the talk of the Titans D, the Giants defense matches them in almost every area. Six of the top 10 are NFC teams, and look at the Cardinals in at #7 with the top scoring offense in the NFL. Chicago at #5 is really surprising, at least to a guy not following them closely this season.


















































































































































































































Rank
Team
Team Strength
Change From Last Week
1
NY Giants
13.6
1.30
2
Tennessee
12.5
-1.80
3
Philadelphia
10.8
1.40
4
Pittsburgh
10.2
1.00
5
Chicago
7.3
-0.10
6
Carolina
7.2
0.00
7
Arizona
6.3
2.90
8
Tampa Bay
6.2
-0.50
9
Baltimore
5.8
1.20
10
San Diego
4.7
0.00
11
Green Bay
4.4
-0.90
12
Atlanta
3.6
3.60
13
NY Jets
3.5
0.80
14
New Orleans
3
0.00
15
Buffalo
2.6
-1.80
16
Washington
2.5
-2.60
17
Miami
1.4
1.30
18
New England
1.1
-0.60
19
Dallas
0.8
-3.00
20
Minnesota
0.2
1.20
21
Indianapolis
-1.7
0.80
22
Jacksonville
-2.6
-0.10
23
Houston
-2.8
-1.00
24
Denver
-3.7
0.80
25
Cleveland
-5.1
-1.70
26
San Francisco
-6
0.00
27
Seattle
-9.3
-1.40
28
Oakland
-13.5
-2.30
29
Cincinnati
-14.4
2.30
30
Kansas City
-15
1.90
31
Detroit
-16.1
1.40
32
St. Louis
-16.9
-1.70

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Relentless Improvement

Story is out that DeAngelo Hall was cut by the Raiders. I would love to see the Hawks sign him and put him opposite Tru. Jennings and Wilson are not the answer.

C'mon Timmay, don't miss a chance at getting better.

Sunday, November 2, 2008

Game Thread: Eagles @ Seahawks

I have no wise words to offer today. Anything but a loss would be a shock with the team we're rolling out there. Let's hope for a good game from Seneca today against a tough defense.

I'll be at the game, doing my best to influence the outcome.